Towson
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 95.3346Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Johns Hopkins B1G ( 9- 5, 96.5) 11-13 214 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 12- 8 220 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 95.1) 11-12 227 H UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 14-10 303 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 13-17 307 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.6) 13- 9 314 A Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 17-11 321 A Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 13-10 328 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 14-10 404 H Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 15-10 411 A Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 21- 5 418 A Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 7- 5 425 H Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 20- 3 430 H Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 14- 7 o 502 H Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 11-13 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 A Johns Hopkins 11-13 -2 -2 0.49
214 H Navy 12- 8 4 3 1.28
220 A St Josephs (PA) 11-12 -1 -1 0.14
227 H UMBC 14-10 4 7 - -2.73
303 A Loyola 13-17 -4 0 - -3.64
307 A Virginia 13- 9 4 -5 +++ 8.65
314 A Villanova 17-11 6 1 ++ 5.09
321 A Stony Brook 13-10 3 2 1.05
328 H Drexel 14-10 4 4 0.20
404 H Monmouth 15-10 5 7 - -2.00
411 A Hampton 21- 5 16 15 0.00
418 A Fairfield 7- 5 2 4 -1.62
425 H Hofstra 20- 3 17 7 0.00
430 H Monmouth 14- 7 o 7 7 0.00
502 H Stony Brook 11-13 o -2 5 --- -6.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Stony Brook 11-13 o -2 5 --- -6.70 227 H UMBC 14-10 4 7 - -2.73 303 A Loyola 13-17 -4 0 - -3.64 404 H Monmouth 15-10 5 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Virginia 13- 9 4 -5 +++ 8.65 314 A Villanova 17-11 6 1 ++ 5.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Johns Hopkins ( 9- 5, 96.5) 11-13 -3.45 17.15 1.38 0.95 -0.99
3 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 12- 8 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 0.95 25.40
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7- 6, 95.1) 11-12 -4.80 15.80 1.38 0.95 -1.63
3 H UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 14-10 -9.92 10.68 -1.38 0.95 17.75
3 A Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 13-17 -5.58 15.02 1.38 0.95 -2.01
3 A Virginia (10- 6, 98.6) 13- 9 -1.29 19.31 1.38 0.95 39.47
3 A Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 17-11 -6.85 13.74 1.38 0.95 28.85
3 A Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 13-10 -7.89 12.70 1.38 0.95 26.87
3 H Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 14-10 -6.99 13.61 -1.38 0.95 23.34
3 H Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 15-10 -10.29 10.31 -1.38 0.95 17.06
3 A Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 21- 5 -20.60 1.00 1.38 0.95 4.53
3 A Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 7- 5 -9.56 11.04 1.38 0.95 23.68
3 H Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 20- 3 -10.67 9.92 -1.38 0.95 16.31
3 H Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 14- 7 -10.29 10.31 -1.38 0.95 17.06
3 H Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 11-13 -7.89 12.70 -1.38 0.95 -4.42
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231.26
|
winning pts = 240.3112 losing points = -9.0529
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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